QB DET Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Jared Goff?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#22 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Jared Goff projects for 14.3 PPR points this week, ranked #22 among QBs by our projection model. @ARI is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +2% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 48.5 — 103% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Jared Goff projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 13.1
2 13.1
3 15.7
4 12.5
5 this week 14.3
6 —
7 13.2
8 11.7
9 14.8
10 13.1
11 15.5
12 15.3
13 13.9
14 15.3
15 11.7
16 14.9
17 14.5
18 13.2

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