QB HOU
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit C.J. Stroud?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#12 QB projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: C.J. Stroud projects for 16.3 PPR points this week, ranked #12 among QBs by our projection model. @TEN is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +11% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 43.5 — 92% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 13.3 |
| 2 | 16.9 |
| 3 | 15.5 |
| 4 | 17.8 |
| 5 this week | 16.3 |
| 6 | 14.5 |
| 7 | 16.3 |
| 8 | — |
| 9 | 13.2 |
| 10 | 13.6 |
| 11 | 15.5 |
| 12 | 16.0 |
| 13 | 16.9 |
| 14 | 17.3 |
| 15 | 15.1 |
| 16 | 13.4 |
| 17 | 14.6 |
| 18 | 17.0 |