QB NO Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Tyler Shough?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#28 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Tyler Shough projects for 13.0 PPR points this week, ranked #28 among QBs by our projection model. vs MIN is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -15% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 44.5 — 94% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Tyler Shough projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 17.5
2 16.6
3 15.1
4 15.7
5 this week 13.0
6 16.8
7 16.9
8 —
9 14.0
10 14.2
11 16.6
12 17.2
13 15.1
14 14.2
15 17.7
16 16.1
17 15.8
18 17.7

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