WR DET Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Amon-Ra St. Brown?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Start

#3 WR projection this week — comfortable start.

Start call: Amon-Ra St. Brown projects for 16.1 PPR points this week, ranked #3 among WRs by our projection model. @ARI is a tough matchup for WRs — the model applies a -2% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 48.5 — 103% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Amon-Ra St. Brown projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 16.2
2 15.6
3 16.1
4 14.8
5 this week 16.1
6 —
7 16.4
8 13.7
9 15.8
10 15.6
11 16.6
12 18.8
13 17.2
14 18.1
15 13.7
16 17.4
17 17.8
18 16.4

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